Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 108.823656 123.597462 139.852698 159.099926 181.312803 206.196291 236.256811
2026-02-08 86.126508 105.100468 127.689643 156.698632 193.154287 237.698331 296.626491
2026-02-15 74.094410 95.155946 121.686777 157.826219 206.180113 269.216018 358.548361
2026-02-22 65.995810 88.317551 117.751730 159.828313 219.121191 300.718739 423.292106
2026-03-01 57.908274 80.177603 110.679136 156.079767 222.919992 319.248598 471.395527
2026-03-08 51.672694 73.715385 104.934325 153.101229 226.847252 337.645162 520.823244
2026-03-15 47.000564 68.894494 100.862577 151.835488 232.750830 359.115315 577.167894
2026-03-22 44.770214 67.381110 101.393335 157.407660 249.561753 399.128311 668.551779
2026-03-29 42.560757 65.631421 101.301835 161.837683 264.813217 438.108470 763.260496
2026-04-05 39.516009 62.257794 98.285488 161.084242 271.151863 462.526328 835.129244
2026-04-12 37.228967 59.876740 96.606483 162.308430 280.866755 493.697481 923.468567
2026-04-19 34.903342 57.216404 94.197724 161.963587 287.622784 520.084016 1005.993451
2026-04-26 32.807149 54.970325 92.633403 163.601013 299.434241 559.712067 1126.372649
2026-05-03 30.207278 51.650111 88.944781 161.071416 303.288588 584.996600 1222.524096
2026-05-10 28.446307 49.633659 87.350761 162.230944 314.386631 626.139294 1360.237334
2026-05-17 26.989556 48.020956 86.312316 164.294688 327.483486 673.139251 1519.730855
2026-05-24 24.913964 45.077598 82.506641 160.430491 327.715859 692.482230 1617.333754
2026-05-31 23.143924 42.556919 79.272361 157.360273 329.219697 714.755196 1726.157335
2026-06-07 21.744539 40.628301 77.011222 156.055629 334.404016 746.087844 1863.995514
2026-06-14 21.222934 40.366086 78.019920 161.799316 356.203546 819.695107 2128.768360
2026-06-21 20.606022 39.857584 78.474036 166.366157 375.850349 891.059529 2402.680670
2026-06-28 19.520571 38.307502 76.632985 165.589418 382.597631 930.980019 2594.656118
2026-07-05 18.703854 37.246667 75.728316 166.851466 394.504308 986.070123 2844.043458